Best Limited Series (Best Miniseries): Emmy Predictions 2021

The race for Exceptional Restricted or Anthology Collection is primed to be essentially the most heated marketing campaign of the 2021 Emmys.

Final 12 months’s Winner: “Watchmen”
Nonetheless Eligible: No.
Sizzling Streak: Repeat winners aren’t the norm in Restricted Collection, and whilst they do occur (“American Crime Tale: The Folks vs. O.J. Simpson”/”Gianni Versace,” “Band of Brothers”/”The Pacific”), it’s extra not unusual to look networks cross on sizzling streaks — albeit transient ones. Recently, HBO has gained the Absolute best Restricted Collection class in back-to-back years, first for “Chernobyl” after which for “Watchmen.” The top class cable massive has additionally gained in 3 of the remaining 4 years and 7 of the remaining 11. Its remaining win gave it extra trophies for Absolute best Restricted Collection than every other community in historical past, and but HBO has nonetheless by no means gained greater than two times in a row. Just one community has: NBC, from 1986 – 1988.
A laugh Reality: Talking of repeats, handiest 4 sequence have earned greater than two nominations within the Restricted Collection class: “Horatio Hornblower” and “Fargo” each have 3, “American Horror Tale” has 4, and “Top Suspect” is the all time chief with 5. (Seven extra sequence were nominated two times, together with “Genius,” “Luther,” “American Crime,” and “American Crime Tale.”)
Notable Ineligible Collection: “American Crime Tale: Impeachment” (the season didn’t air in time to be eligible); “The Falcon and the Iciness Soldier” (submitted as a Drama Collection); “Lisey’s Tale” (the season didn’t air in time to be eligible); “Loki” (the season didn’t air in time to be eligible)

On the backside of this web page are IndieWire Deputy TV Editor Ben Travers’ predictions for Absolute best Restricted Collection. This article is going to be up to date during the season, along side all our predictions, so you’ll want to stay checking IndieWire for the newest information from the 2020 race. Balloting for the 2021 Emmys can be held from June 17 via June 28 (with polls remaining at 10 p.m. PT). Emmy nominations can be introduced Tuesday, July 13. The Inventive Arts Emmy Awards can be given out in September, at a date (or dates) to be introduced. The 73rd Annual Primetime Emmy Awards will happen Sunday, September 19. CBS is broadcasting the rite.

The State of the Race

No disrespect to the various, many vital Emmy classes in the market, however the 2021 race for Absolute best Restricted Collection is the place it’s at — no longer handiest has the deluge of restricted sequence unfold from conventional status platforms to nearly each and every community in the market, however the variety of stellar choices makes it legitimately arduous to select what presentations are deserving of the ones coveted 5 slots. I don’t pity the TV Academy participants pressured to slim their nomination ballots, however we right here at IndieWire are greater than prepared to provide a serving to hand. (I’m reachable 24/7/365 for somebody who wishes a 2d opinion.)

Now then, what sequence are in the most efficient place up to now? “The Queen’s Gambit” emerged from the iciness TV awards season as the guild favorite, notching key victories on the DGA Awards, SAG Awards, and PGA Awards, amongst others. At this level, it might take a minor miracle for Scott Frank’s breakout chess drama to omit the reduce on nominations’ morning, despite the fact that no longer for loss of festival.

Netflix can even have Ryan Murphy’s newest restricted sequence, “Halston,” starring Ewan McGregor and the mega-producer’s conventional forged of all-stars. Taking into account how smartly “Hollywood” did after some beautiful mediocre critiques (12 nominations, two wins), it kind of feels protected to wager “Halston” can be an across-the-board participant it doesn’t matter what roughly buzz it generates. In the meantime, “The Haunting of Bly Manor” earned robust marks for Netflix in 2020, and Mike Flanagan’s follow-up to “The Haunting of Hill Area” may take pleasure in the franchise’s burgeoning popularity. (Even though it’s nonetheless some distance off from changing into the Academy’s new horror style fave, a l. a. “American Horror Tale.”)

Netflix’s standard accessibility will have to lend a hand it snag nominations all over again, however the provider’s ubiquitous nature would possibly not lend a hand it get a couple of nods right here. Amazon Top, arguably, has the most efficient shot at two of the 5 slots, due to its collaborations with esteemed filmmakers Steve McQueen and Barry Jenkins. McQueen’s “Small Awl” anthology made a bit of noise at the movie entrance remaining iciness, as quite a lot of awards organizations attempted to justify honoring one (or extra) of the director’s 5 distinct works. However the TV Academy’s clarifying 2021 rule change — renaming this class Exceptional Restricted or Anthology Collection — makes the Emmys the easiest position to honor a five-film set. (The Oscars haven’t any approach of honoring a couple of narratives housed beneath one identify, anyway, which is the one method to relatively weigh this paintings in opposition to every other.) As for Jenkins, the “Moonlight” Oscar-winner has been running on his TV debut for years now, Amazon Top is giving “Underground Railroad” a heavy push, and Jenkins, frankly, has but to disappoint.

Nonetheless, one can by no means depend out HBO. In an ordinary yr, Kate Winslet’s TV debut could be a lock for a nomination, if no longer a half-dozen wins. This yr, “Mare of Easttown” goes head-to-head with every other Oscar-winning film big name: Nicole Kidman in “The Undoing.” Opinions have a tendency to choose “Mare,” however Susanne Bier’s 2020 thriller constructed up a little of steam over the iciness TV awards season, snagging notable guild nominations. Each, despite the fact that, might be overshadowed by way of a good previous unencumber: Michaela Coel’s “I Might Spoil You” has maintained a fervent fanbase and stable buzz because it’s summer season 2020 debut, and that rather well may construct to “Fleabag”-esque dominance on the Emmys. Presently, even the gentlest nudge ahead — be it via new interviews, a forged FYC marketing campaign, or common make stronger from critics — may make all of the distinction.

Up to now, I’ve discussed 8 contenders, all of that have robust resumes, and all of which might be nominated — if the TV Academy had expanded the Restricted Collection class when it stretched the Comedy and Drama Collection nomination slots to 8. However it didn’t. So handiest 5 could make the reduce, and there are nonetheless such a lot of extra restricted sequence to imagine! Disney+ moved “The Falcon and the Winter Soldier” to the Drama categories, paving the best way for “WandaVision” to clutch up Restricted Collection nods. “Fargo” has long gone three-for-three in the case of Restricted Collection nominations, so the force is on for Season four to crack via. The similar will also be mentioned of “Genius”: two seasons, two nominations, and now the 3rd, “Genius: Aretha,” will glance to stay the streak alive.

Then there are the dream nominees; those that will be regarded as darkish horses in a standard yr, however would wish an immense surge of make stronger to take down the closely liked stallions. FX on Hulu’s “A Trainer” proved Hannah Fidell’s indie movie may paintings as a long-form sequence (and get other folks speaking); no longer sufficient will also be mentioned about Jude Regulation’s efficiency in “The 3rd Day” on HBO (I imply, come on); and Starz produced every other swish, good season of “The Female friend Revel in,” this one commanded by way of Anja Marquardt. Toss in HBO Max’s “It’s a Sin” and Showtime’s “The Excellent Lord Hen” — two restricted sequence with sufficient awards bonafides to have a shot, albeit an extended one than in years prior — and there’s a complete set of nominees that might get up to many previous categories of Restricted Collection. What a yr. What a race.

Predicted Nominees:

  1. “The Queen’s Gambit” (Netflix)
  2. “I Might Spoil You” (HBO)
  3. “Underground Railroad” (Amazon Top Video)
  4. “Mare of Easttown” (HBO)
  5. “WandaVision” (Disney+)

Contenders: “Small Awl,” “The Undoing,” “Halston,” “Fargo,” “Genius: Aretha,” “The Excellent Lord Hen,” “It’s a Sin,” “Your Honor,” “Solos,” “The Comey Rule”

In a Very best International (The place There are 8 Nominees): “Haunting of Bly Manor,” “A Trainer,” “The Female friend Revel in,” “The 3rd Day”

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